NOTE: Forecasts for the Marais Des Cygnes River at La Cygne are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available.

US Dept of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Missouri Basin, Pleasant Hill 1803 North 7 Highway Pleasant Hill, MO 64080-9421 Latitude/Longitude Disclaimer: The gauge location shown in the above map 0000001478 00000 n Ensemble Streamflow Probabilistic VerificationFor each location designated by an NWS location identifier (NWSLI) in the table below there are two rows of information.Row 2 contains for each forecast exceedance probability whether it was under forecast, over forecast, or spot-on (no bias), followed by the difference of the forecast exceedance probability and observed exceedance percentage. 113 cfs at Marais des Cygnes River near KS-MO State Line, KS on Dec. 11, 2013. provided to the NWS by the gauge owner. Farmland, homesteads, and secondary roads behind the levee are threatened by flooding.Low lying farmland and other rural land floods. ME is the average error of between the difference of forecast and observed value for each forecast exceedance probability category (95%, 90%, 75%, 50%, 25%, 10% and 5%) referred to in this discussion as netME95to5.Data Analysis Summary by WFO and Forecast Point Location IdentifierRow 1 contains the NWSLI, the observed exceedance percentage for each forecast exceedance probability (column header PCT), and (sum/cnt) column where sum is the number of occurrences and cnt is the total number of forecasts for each probability category.National Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationForecast quality is based on the magnitude of the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) also known as forecast error. “Depending on what they do with Melvern and Pomona Lake, it will have a significant impact on how quickly the water recedes along the Marais des Cygnes River. NAD83/WGS84 0000000627 00000 n Welcome to RiverBoss 3.0!

Older USGS topographic maps, NGVD29 benchmarks The Marais des Cygnes River has a history of flooding. NOTE: River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time. One of the first such floods that has been noted is the Great Flood of 1844 known as "Big Water" in Native American legend. 36 0 obj << /Linearized 1 /O 38 /H [ 700 275 ] /L 45509 /E 7228 /N 8 /T 44671 >> endobj xref 36 14 0000000016 00000 n Highway 152 floods 0.75 miles west of La Cygne. This station is operated by the USGS and funded by the Kansas Water Office and the USGS. The National Weather Service flood stage for this site is 25.0 ft. (Forecast) Current shift-adjusted rating in tab-separated format. At the end of the row are the net Mean Absolute Error and net Mean Error based on the average of all the categories (95% thru 5%) and a subset of the categories, 90% thru 10%.Forecast Bias by NWS Forecast Point Location Identifier 0000000700 00000 n

If you notice any errors in the below information, please contact our Water reaches the floor of the power plant on the west side of La Cygne.Latitude: 38.345278° N, The closer the MAE value is to zero the better the forecast. Safety that is what our jobs are. Photo by Craig Davies, USGS. 0000005567 00000 n NOTE: River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time. Marais des Cygnes River, river flowing through east-central Kansas and west-central Missouri, U.S.It rises near Eskridge, Kansas, and flows nearly 220 miles (355 km) eastward into Missouri, where it joins the Little Osage River to form the Osage River.The Marais des Cygnes basin comprises 4,304 square miles (11,147 square km), and the river drains an area of 3,230 square miles (8,366 square km). Tabular Data (CDT) Accumulated Precip Plots for SNOTEL SitesForecast bias is based on the magnitude of the Mean Error (ME). I can say, though with a bit of panache, that the plages along the Marais des Cygnes Rivr are wonderful and there is no rapine there.94.181.66.117 10:18, 4 September 2015 (UTC) External links modified. 0000006684 00000 n INTRODUCTION AND PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION Subbasin: Upper Marais des Cygnes County: Douglas HUC 8: 10290101 HUC 11 (HUC 14): 070 (020) Drainage Area: Approximately 1.43 square miles. For our loyal Steelhead Alley visitors, you can check out enhanced Steelhead Alley conditions here. I have just modified 3 external links on "To plan and initiate leadership and education that assists communitiesWhen you have finished reviewing my changes, you may follow the instructions on the template below to fix any issues with the URLs.

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